Experimental 5 day AI weather summaries for UK nations, focusing on rainfall and coastal conditions. Data via Open-Meteo. Take a detailed look at how this approach works here.
Use with caution and supplement with official guidance from the Met Office, Environment Agency, SEPA, and Natural Resources Wales.
Last updated: Sat 27 Dec 2025 20:45
This forecast covers Saturday 27 December 2025 to Wednesday 31 December 2025.
Based on ECMWF deterministic guidance.
Headline: Predominantly dry with occasional light drizzle and overcast skies, mild temperatures, and moderate coastal winds.
Saturday 27 December to Sunday 28 December
England and Wales will experience mainly dry conditions with extensive cloud cover, particularly over central and southern areas. Light drizzle is possible in parts of Wales and the South West overnight into Sunday, but rainfall amounts remain low. Northern and eastern England will see mainly clear to partly cloudy skies with no significant precipitation. Temperatures will be mild for the season. Winds will be moderate, generally from the southeast to east.
Monday 29 December to Wednesday 31 December
The forecast period remains largely dry with overcast skies prevailing across much of England and Wales. Occasional light drizzle may affect western coastal and upland areas, especially in Wales and the South West, but no heavy or persistent rain is expected. Eastern and northern regions will see some clearer spells, particularly overnight and early mornings. Temperatures gradually fall towards the end of the period, with clear skies and calm to light winds inland. Coastal areas will experience moderate to fresh easterly to northeasterly winds.
No significant rainfall totals are forecast that would increase flood risk. Nothing currently indicated that seems likely to exacerbate or create new flood risk.
Coastal/tidal information
Tidal conditions will be influenced by a neap to mid-cycle tidal regime early in the period, easing towards neaps, then gradually building towards neap tides by the end of the forecast. No large spring tides are expected. Moderate to fresh coastal winds (Force 4-5) from the east to northeast will coincide with high tides, particularly along the southern and western coasts, but wind speeds are not forecast to reach levels likely to cause significant wind–tide interaction issues. Overall, coastal flood risk remains low.
Last updated: Sat 27 Dec 2025 20:43
This forecast covers Saturday 27 December 2025 to Wednesday 31 December 2025.
Based on ECMWF deterministic guidance.
Headline: Predominantly dry with occasional light drizzle mainly in the northeast; coastal winds moderate, easing towards year-end.
Saturday 27 to Sunday 28 December
England will experience mostly dry and settled conditions with clear to overcast skies. Light drizzle is expected mainly in the northeast during Saturday afternoon and evening, with very limited rainfall amounts. Elsewhere, conditions remain dry with mainly clear or partly cloudy skies. Winds will be moderate, generally from the northeast to east, with gusts mostly in the fresh range (Force 4-5). No significant rainfall accumulations are forecast.
Monday 29 to Wednesday 31 December
Dry and settled weather continues across most of England. Occasional light drizzle or patchy drizzle is possible in the northeast and parts of the east coast, particularly on Monday and Tuesday, but rainfall amounts remain minimal. Cloud cover will vary from overcast to partly cloudy, with clearer spells overnight. Winds will gradually ease, remaining moderate to fresh (Force 3-5) and veering more easterly to southeasterly by midweek. Temperatures will gradually fall, with overnight lows near or below freezing inland by Wednesday.
Nothing currently indicated that seems likely to exacerbate or create new flood risk.
Coastal/tidal information
Tidal conditions remain within the neap cycle through the forecast period, with tides gradually reducing in height before a slight increase towards the end of 31 December. No large spring tides are expected. Coastal winds will be moderate to fresh (Force 4-5), strongest on Saturday and easing thereafter. Wind gusts coincide with high tides early in the period but are not expected to reach levels that would significantly enhance tidal flooding risk. Overall, coastal flood risk remains low.
Last updated: Sat 27 Dec 2025 20:44
This forecast covers Saturday 27 December 2025 to Wednesday 31 December 2025.
Based on ECMWF deterministic guidance.
Headline: Predominantly dry with occasional light drizzle early, turning colder and clearer late in the period.
Saturday 27 to Sunday 28 December
Wales will experience mainly dry conditions with extensive cloud cover, particularly across central and northern areas. Light drizzle is possible overnight into early Sunday in parts of mid-Wales, but rainfall amounts remain minimal. Winds will be moderate, generally from the northeast to east, with gusts easing overnight. Coastal and lowland areas will see mainly overcast skies, while some southern and western parts may have clearer spells during the day. Overall, precipitation is light and unlikely to cause flooding.
Monday 29 to Wednesday 31 December
A gradual transition to colder and clearer conditions is expected. Dry weather will dominate with only isolated light drizzle or patchy cloud in some areas, mainly early on Monday. Temperatures will fall, especially overnight, with clear skies prevailing by midweek. Winds will generally be lighter, shifting to northerly and northwesterly directions. The risk of significant rainfall or snowmelt-related flooding is low during this period.
Nothing currently indicated that seems likely to exacerbate or create new flood risk.
Coastal/tidal information
Tidal conditions remain within the neap cycle through to Wednesday, with tides gradually building towards spring levels late on 31 December. Coastal winds will be moderate to fresh (Force 4-5) mainly on Saturday and Sunday, easing thereafter. No strong wind-tide interactions are expected during high tides, reducing the likelihood of coastal flooding concerns. Overall, tidal and wind conditions are not forecast to pose significant flood risk along the Welsh coast during this period.
Last updated: Sat 27 Dec 2025 20:44
This forecast covers Saturday 27 December 2025 to Wednesday 31 December 2025.
Based on ECMWF deterministic guidance.
Headline: Predominantly dry with patchy drizzle developing later in the period, light rain confined to some western and northern areas.
Saturday 27 to Sunday 28 December
Scotland will experience mainly dry conditions with extensive cloud cover. Light drizzle may develop in parts of the Western Isles and northern coastal areas later on Sunday. Winds will be generally moderate, with gusts increasing in exposed western and northern locations. Rainfall amounts are expected to remain low, with no significant accumulations.
Monday 29 to Wednesday 31 December
A continuation of mostly dry weather is forecast, though patchy drizzle or light rain is likely to affect western and northern coastal regions, including the Western Isles and northern Highlands, especially from Tuesday afternoon onwards. Inland and southern areas should remain largely dry. Winds will strengthen, particularly along northern and western coasts, with gusts reaching fresh to strong breeze (Force 4-5) levels. Rainfall totals remain modest, limiting flood concerns.
Nothing currently indicated that seems likely to exacerbate or create new flood risk.
Coastal/tidal information
The tidal cycle is currently at neap tides, gradually building towards moderate tides by Wednesday. High tides will remain below levels associated with large springs. Coastal winds will increase to fresh to strong breeze (Force 4-5) mainly along northern and western coasts during high tide periods later in the forecast, which may enhance wave action but is not expected to cause significant coastal flooding. Overall, tidal and wind conditions do not indicate elevated coastal flood risk through to the end of the forecast period.